Abstract

CABALLERO CLAURE, Benigno; BOHORQUEZ CORO, Claudia Mabel  and  CABALLERO MARTINEZ, Rolando. Regional convergence and economic growth in China 1978-2013. a space analysis. Revista de coyuntura y perspectiva [online]. 2019, vol.4, n.1, pp.44-89. ISSN 2415-0622.

Abstract: The article studies the regional convergence and divergence in China, from 1978 to 2013, using the classic definitions of sigma convergence, beta convergence and conditional convergence, as well as non-parametric and spatial techniques of frequent use such as Moran's I statistic, Lisa analysis and spatial econometric models: spatial autoregressive model (SAR) and spatial error model (SEM), as well as static measurements, such as the gamma, alpha, theil indicator, weighted variation coefficient and the Herfindahl-Hirschman index. The empirical results indicate a decrease in the dispersion of per capita income for the entire period 1978-2013. However, with the spatial econometric models and most of the static and dynamic indicators, a significant conditional convergence process is confirmed, for the entire period 1978-2013 and 1995-2013. In addition, the formation of a convergence cluster in the economic growth of the regions of China is confirmed.

Keywords : Beta convergence; spatial econometrics; regions.

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