Resumo

AGUILAR, Tirza J.  e  MARTIN, Dennis. The perspective of inflation in Bolivia. rlde [online]. 2012, n.18, pp.33-64. ISSN 2074-4706.

In Bolivia the inflation has different ways to evolved, it's continued growth has its explanation is in: the imported inflation, (particularly in the food division), the expectative generated in the country as a result of economic policies in the recent last years. The domestic inflation is explained more for the inflation in food and beverage and transport. The paper describes the behavior and makes a forecast for the first semester of 2012 through Autoregressive Moving Average models and Autoregressive Vector.

Palavras-chave : Bolivia's lnflation; lnflation of food and beverages; Inflation of transportation; ARIMA models; VAR models.

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