Abstract

BERNAL ALTAMIRANO, Carlos Omar. Model analysis of the impact of the exchange rate and other macroeconomic variables on the exports of textile industry in Bolivia. Perspectivas [online]. 2015, n.35, pp.29-68. ISSN 1994-3733.

The present work, it has purpose of analyzing the impact of variations in the exchange rate as part of the exchange rate policy of Bolivia and other macroeconomic variables of importance for the increase in the competitiveness of Bolivian, taking as a case study the textile industry textile exports, same which constitutes one of the most vulnerable to internal macroeconomic changes. In this sense, included a reference framework to substantiate with currents or economic aspects, contrasting theory. Subsequently, a description of the behavior of exports with specific analysis of the sector thanks, is made through a relationship with the behaviour of the nominal exchange rate and other important determinants. Analysis is complemented by an analysis of the correlation, by applying an econometric modeling to explain the relationship between macroeconomic variables. Through this statistical analysis is applicable to the matching of the working hypothesis, concluding that the studied variables affect exports with a disincentive for exchange-rate policy.

Keywords : Econometric model; Correlational analysis; Exchange rate; Textile exports.

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