Resumo

MAMANI, Julio Cesar Quispe et al. Effect of climate change and forest cover on forest loss in the Amazon rainforest of Peru, 2003-2019. Rev. Inv. Cs. Agro. y Vet. [online]. 2023, vol.7, n.19, pp.88-102.  Epub 09-Jan-2023. ISSN 2664-0902.  https://doi.org/10.33996/revistaalfa.v7i19.200.

Climate change is a global problem that alters the functioning of biospheres and entire ecosystems, whose causes clearly derive from the development of different economic activities in the world, categorically affecting natural biodiversity, biotic and abiotic resources existing in natural environmental systems. The objective was to determine the effect of climate change and forest cover on forest loss in the Peruvian Amazon rainforest, between 2003 and 2019, for which a quantitative, non-experimental, descriptive and longitudinal approach was considered, using existing information from the National Institute of Statistics and Informatics, the Ministry of Environment and Geo-Forests; the econometric model of fixed and random effects was applied. It was determined that climate change has a positive effect on forest loss, while forest cover has a negative effect on forest loss. Furthermore, even if rainfall increases by 1 mm and maximum temperature increases by 1°C, then forest loss increases by 4.3 and 483.9 hectares respectively; even if forest cover increases by 1 hectare, then forest loss decreases by 0.13 hectares, which is justified because there is no environmental policy at the Peruvian regional level that guarantees the conservation of forest species, recovery and protection of forest resources mainly in the Amazonian regions.

Palavras-chave : Climate change; Forest cover; Forest loss; Natural regions; Environmental policy.

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